Aixtron purpose of this thread

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959 Postings, 1937 Tage CWL1Infineon Started its Malaysia SiC and GaN Plant

 
  
    
2
13.07.22 22:20

Groundbreaking for Infineon's Malaysian plant
The total investment is about 14.4 billion

According to foreign media reports, on July 7, Infineon invested more than 2 billion euros (about 14.4 billion yuan in total) to officially lay the foundation stone for the third plant built in Kulim, Malaysia. The construction is expected to be completed in the third quarter of 2024, creating About 900 jobs.

Infineon said that the plant mainly involves key processes such as epitaxy and wafer cutting , and will significantly expand the production capacity of wide-bandgap (silicon carbide and gallium nitride) semiconductors. The first batch of wafers is planned to be produced in the second half of 2024 . goods.
Moreover, when its Kulim 3 plant is fully equipped, it will generate additional annual revenue of 2 billion euros for Infineon from silicon carbide and gallium nitride products.

In the next few years, Infineon's 6"/8" silicon production line in Villach, Austria will also be retrofitted for the production of SiC and GaN, serving as an innovation base and global competence center for their wide bandgap technology, aiming for this century $1 billion in revenue from SiC-based power semiconductors in the medium term .

 

959 Postings, 1937 Tage CWL1Infineon Malaysia

 
  
    
14.07.22 16:27
13 July 2022

Infineon lays foundation of third wafer fab module in Kulim, Malaysia

http://www.semiconductor-today.com/news_items/...nfineon-130722.shtml  

959 Postings, 1937 Tage CWL12B Investment from Infineon

 
  
    
2
14.07.22 17:22
Infineon is on schedule to invest 2B Eur in Malaysia focusing on the front-end epi and wafer cutting for SiC and GaN power semi.  Assuming ~30% of the investment goes to MOCVD tools, it can be a 600M opportunity for Aixtron.  If Aixtron wins the business which is highly likely, orders should start in mid 2023  to meet Infineon's H2/2024 production schedule.    

959 Postings, 1937 Tage CWL1Why down 5% today, my 2 cents

 
  
    
1
19.07.22 01:03
There was a downward Q2 earnings revision by certain analysts from 94.3m to 93m today after the close.   In addition, the new Q3 earning estimates is now 131m, short of the 140m projected in a previous post (#1299).  Furthermore, the 2022 rev estimate is now 489m which is short of the anticipated 500m considering the benefit of currency tailwind.   Pessimism is being propagated for whatever the reason or source.  Traders who got the information ahead were front running.  

959 Postings, 1937 Tage CWL1Kingsoon Expands

 
  
    
1
19.07.22 03:44
Kingsoon Optoelectronics plans A-share IPO and will build the country's largest quaternary LED production base

"with an estimated total investment of 800 million yuan"

http://www.25qingdao.com/baoxian/2022/0717/72619.html

Kingsoon is a customer of Aixtron:

https://www.aixtron.com/en/investors/...ems%2520from%2520AIXTRON_n226  

538 Postings, 5703 Tage fel216Share price moves

 
  
    
3
19.07.22 10:10

Hi all,

I think the share price moves are closely linked to Semi / Semicap and Tech sectors at the moment. Also I see some short-sellers building positions. I can also understand if people take profit after still a strong YTD Performance of +26% vs. S&P 500 -20% and German DAX in similar regions. So sell the outperformer.

Fundamentally I am obviously of different opinion. Aixtron remains in excellent shape. Strong orders, sales, new equipment with higher price per machine, so driving better margins. FX a massive tailwinds here at 1.00 vs. 1.20 budget rate!

But, look at the sector: US Semi Index SOX -13% since beginning of June, ASML the same over that period, Micron with weaker revenue guidance, Apple reducing some hiring and reducing spending, Infineon -20% since early June. Aixtron on the other hand only -8% (until 2 days ago) since beginning of June. So the stock is following the other names here I believe.

The market (generalist investors) are worried that we are/have overbuilt in Semi Capex and it doesnt differentiate by application. Stupid. Obviously Aixtron is not hit given SIC/GAN/Micro LED etc. But for us, that is great! It provides great re-entry points.. big technical support (200d MA) at ? 20.

Lets see where the down move ends, but we as specialists know that results will be good, balance sheet is strong and Management conservative/reliable.

Q2 results on 28.07...

have a nice summer all!
Fel
 

109 Postings, 977 Tage joss.beaumontCWL and fel

 
  
    
19.07.22 10:46

many thanks for sharing your informations with us.

Und ja, fel du schreibst:

The market (generalist investors) are worried that we are/have overbuilt in Semi Capex and it doesnt differentiate by application. Stupid. Obviously Aixtron is not hit given SIC/GAN/Micro LED etc. But for us, that is great! It provides great re-entry points.. big technical support (200d MA) at ? 20.

Das sehe ich exakt genau so. und bleibe - infogedessen - vollumfänglich investiert.

Und auch hier schliessse ich mich vorbehaltlos an: 

have a nice summer all! or bon été à tous

à bientôt

Jossy



 

959 Postings, 1937 Tage CWL1ASM Int. buys LPE

 
  
    
19.07.22 16:59
This potentially could lead to a stronger SiC EPI equipment competitor:

https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2022/...MENT-BUSINESS.html  

959 Postings, 1937 Tage CWL1Q2 and beyond

 
  
    
2
21.07.22 16:07
On May 5 when Aixtron reported Q1 sales of "only" 88.6 m the stock tanked about 8%.  Some investors seemed to be surprised by the number when estimates of ~85m had been well telegraphed before that day.

That Aixtron would have Q2 sales of "ONLY" 94.5m caused the stock to tank 5% Monday.  Some investors worried about the Deja Vu of Q1 earnings and got out.

The latest sale estimates by the analysts are 129M for Q3, 182M for Q4 and 124M for Q1/23.  The Q4 sales number implies Q2 orders of 135m.  The Q1/23 sales of 124m indicates a strong Q3 order of 148m.  If so, Aixtron would up its 2022 order guidance.  

I think the stock has priced in the modest Q2 94m sales and is beginning to reflect a stronger H2.  

959 Postings, 1937 Tage CWL1WIN Semiconductors

 
  
    
26.07.22 21:25
warned about its Q3 earnings and cut 2022 capital expenditure from 400m to 267m yesterday.  This partly explains the weakness today.  

1240 Postings, 4576 Tage baggo-mhAixtron: strong order intake

 
  
    
1
28.07.22 11:20

https://www.dgap.de/dgap/News/corporate/starke-auftragslage-hoechster-auftragseingang-seit-erster-volumenauftrag-micro-leds-gan-und-sic-groesste-treiber-umsatz-und-gewinn-erheblich-gesteigert-wachstumsprognose-fuer-bestaetigt/?newsID=1621843

A few comments.

Order backlog ?315 Million of which 30% are in USD valued at 1,20. Potentrial upside on 1/3 of the backlog approx. ?20 Million.

Shipping forecast againt this back-log ?150 Million which leaves ?165 M for 2023.

First volume order for MicroLED received.

Check out the IR Presentation for details. https://www.aixtron.com/investoren/publikationen/ir-praesentationen/2022/AIXA_Q2-2022_Investor-Presentation.pdf

Regards
laugthingcool baggo-mh


 

109 Postings, 977 Tage joss.beaumontYes baggo....

 
  
    
28.07.22 11:37

https://www.finanzen.net/nachricht/aktien/roundup-weiter-hohe-nachfrage-aixtron-sieht-sich-auf-kurs-zu-jahreszielen-11573399

Vor allem die Micro-LED Story steht ja erst am Anfang. Da sit noch einiges an Potnzial vorhanden. In diesem boot bleibe ich noch lange sitzen...

Wie war das noch bei Felix: The best......

Regards

Jossywink


 

1240 Postings, 4576 Tage baggo-mhCC zum Q2 Ergebnis 28.07.2022

 
  
    
2
28.07.22 16:27

CC zum Q2 Ergebnis 28.07.2022

These are my personal notes from the call today.

Turnover        
 - Q3 will be larger than Q2
 - Q4 will be larger than Q3
spares & parts to be around 20ish % of total
36% of the revenue is invoiced in USD

Felix sees continuous strong momentum


Sales in Q2 by application by contribution

1.) red LED
2.) SiC
3.) Datacom Laser

4.) MicroLED (shipments are for trial and R&D tools) 10-20% of total

Price increases

Have been have been announced and are part of the order back-log. They become effective for all orders placed after the announcement.

Lead Time
Therefore the high inventory levels


GaN Power
Fast chargers replacing Si in chargers and have already a very, very high market share high
Data Centers
white goods (refrigerators etc)
most Laptops still  shipped with regulars GaN charges

SiC Power
Tool is fully automated (Batch production of 6 or 8? wafers) and 4 to 5 times more productive in terms of wafer output) than the tool of LPE.
 
LPE was acquired by ASM and there is an estimate for 100 Million sales of SiC tools in 2023. Aixtron does not want to comment on that number, but if would mean a huge ramp of one of the LPE customers. LPE is mostly China turnover, single wafer tool and much less automated (semi-automated according to Felix)           
China is building their own SiC supply chain. Local SiC wafer production, local SiC Epi tools, local MOFEST production.    


MicroLED
Order received is for red, green, and blue MicroLED systems and comprises of 2 handful of systems.

Shipment towards the end of the year 2022 and further orders for the ramp expected in H2/22 and H1/23.

Felix made one statement which gave it away: ?Depending on when we record the order?. For me that means Aixtron already knows the size of the ramp-order but has yet to add it to the order back-log. That would indicate further good news in the coming months.


2023 and 2024 the majority of the orders are expected to come from MicroLED as other customers are still in the qualification stage.

All in all a very convincing telecon.

Regards
laugthingcool baggo-mh

 

109 Postings, 977 Tage joss.beaumontDZ-Bank

 
  
    
29.07.22 14:28

https://www.finanzen.net/analyse/aixtron_se_verkaufen-dz_bank_831053

Aus meinem Blickwinkel: Völliger Schwachsinn!

Zur Info (stolen from baggo):

Turnover        
 - Q3 will be larger than Q2
 - Q4 will be larger than Q3
spares & parts to be around 20ish % of total
36% of the revenue is invoiced in USD

un bon week-end

Jossysealed

 

1240 Postings, 4576 Tage baggo-mhHSCEL

 
  
    
01.08.22 15:42

Apple with a patent registration in July. https://www.lightreading.com/...cs-launches-hcsel-laser/d/d-id/602006
HSCEL: horizontal instead of vertical Laser, a combination of VCSEL and EEL https://www.lightreading.com/binoptics-launches-hcsel-laser/d/d-id/602006

Wer nutzt u.a. Aixtron reactors to produce VCSEL parts?
II-VI Inc.
If Apple will use this in future releases other manufacturrers will follow.

Regards
laugthingcool baggo-mh


 

959 Postings, 1937 Tage CWL1Wolfspeed Reported

 
  
    
18.08.22 00:24
https://s29.q4cdn.com/278875087/files/...Q4_2022_Earnings_Release.pdf

Listening to the CC.  Very bullish in the CC.  The SiC ramp is much more rapidly than anticipated.  Even the non automotive applications are accelerating.  The recent silicon semiconductor slowdown does not affect Wolfspeed at all.

The ~$50B US chip act signed last week includes subsidy money for SiC and the CEO was there at the White House.  Wolfspeed plans to tap into that subsidy for new fabs and is also planning the expansion of its existing fabs capacity right now.  
 

1240 Postings, 4576 Tage baggo-mhI had the same idea ;-) different source

 
  
    
18.08.22 11:02

from the CC yesterday.

"Since the opening, we've continued to run initial lots through the fab and remain on track to complete initial qualifications and ship products by the end of this fiscal year. We've also had several large customers visit the site prior to signing agreements with us, which is translating into stronger demand than we originally anticipated.

As a result, [b]we now have initiated work to tool out the remaining portion of the fab.[/b] We are also expanding the materials capacity to support the increased production planned in Mohawk Valley. We believe this is the best course of action to stay ahead of what we see as a steepening demand for silicon carbide."

"If you look across the market for silicon carbide, you see that market expanding and you also see the industry overall need more capacity. And certainly, we're going to need to participate in that. So when you look at that increase in capacity, [b]including we talked about potentially an additional fab after Mohawk Valley[/b], we talked about more materials -- a second materials facility that we might need as well,......."

So here we go. Aixtrons biggest SiC customer is talking about expansion of teh existing Mohawk fab and plans under discussion to build another one.

Just for info: materials means SiC wafer prodution which has nothing to do with Aixtron.

Regards
laugthingcool baggo-mh

https://seekingalpha.com/article/...g_alpha&utm_term=28765120.435

 

959 Postings, 1937 Tage CWL1Wolfspeed Materials

 
  
    
1
18.08.22 13:58
In its Materials business segment, Wolfspeed sells SiC substrate and SiC epi wafers.  The epi wafers use Aixtron's tools as we know:

https://www.wolfspeed.com/products/materials/

 

109 Postings, 977 Tage joss.beaumontCWL1 and baggo,

 
  
    
18.08.22 19:08

very interesting!

Many thanks for your statements.

Seit wann ist Wolfspeed Kunde von Aixtron und nutzt deren Tools? Das ist doch schon eine gewisse Zeit, oder? 

Ist Wolfspeed auch Cree-Kunde? (Ich meine ja, aber bin mir nicht sicher) Wisst ihr hier mehr?

à bientôt (hier ist dieser Ausdruck ja glücklicherweise noch erlaubt)

Jossywink


 

959 Postings, 1937 Tage CWL1joss

 
  
    
18.08.22 22:53
Cree sold its LED and lighting business a year or two ago.  Its remaining power semiconductor business, i.e. SiC and GaN, is now the company Wolfspeed.  So simply put Wolfspeed is the old CREE without LED and lighting.  

109 Postings, 977 Tage joss.beaumontCWL

 
  
    
19.08.22 00:27

Many thanks!

Da habe ich wohl etwas völlig durcheinander gebracht... Bloß gut, dass wir dich hier mit an Bord haben, mon cher CWL1

best regards

Jossywink


 

959 Postings, 1937 Tage CWL1PlayNitride MicroLED

 
  
    
2
24.08.22 18:20
A must read article for those who want to understand the future of MicroLED:

https://www.digitimes.com/news/a20220817PD203/...led-playnitride.html

"Q: What is the capital expenditure plan in the future?

A: If PlayNitride continues capital investment on its own, the capital expenditure is estimated to exceed NT$10 billion (US$334 million) and return on investment will take a long time. Partnership with enterprises can reduce own capital expenditure a great deal and get return on investment in a short time. Therefore, PlayNitride will adopt the latter strategy to expand production capacity and boost the development of micro LED industry."

It is a fair assumption that ~50% of the capital investment or US$167 million would go to epitaxy, i.e., MOCVD, i.e., Aixtron.  

538 Postings, 5703 Tage fel216@CWL - Playnitride question

 
  
    
1
25.08.22 09:07
Thanks alot for posting the article @CWL, I will read it now.

A quick question to get a better picture: How big do you regard Playnitride within the potential MicroLED world - if we can judge that it provides a better picture of how big the potential for epitaxy spending could be. e.g. if Playnitride is a Top 5 player and "only" has to spend $ 167m to ensure a strong position this is not a lot in my view. So it would be great to hear your view who the big MicroLed Players could be and what your estimate for total epitaxy spend is - a very rough estimate of course.

On another note: Apple will present its next gen products on Sept 07., commentators assume that they will also present a new Apple Watch. The interesting question will be if that features MicroLed !

Regards,
Fel

 

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